T20 Ratings - February 2012 - Mega Edition
Russell Degnan
With the WT20 qualifiers fast approaching I've revised the T20 rankings, adding any games I could find, however minor to produce as comprehensive a ranking list as possible. The inclusion of a new batch of nations necessitated another upward adjustment; for consistencies sake, every team was initialised to their ranking after 10 games (or the last, if fewer) to the nearest hundred; teams who played multiple divisions in the recent qualifers were used to normalise groups. This is far from perfect with so few games played, but it is pretty close.
In total, 691 games are included, 227 are "official", a very small minority are test nation specific. Like it or not, T20 is the global format for cricket. The predicted margin for a game between two opponents is 1/8th the rating difference. Thus, England would be expected to beat Macedonia by 305 runs. The standard deviation of the expected margin is approximately 40.
T20 Rankings at 25th February 2012 | Form | Games |
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1. | England | 2562.5 | -10.2 | 10.5 | 2. | Australia | 2548.7 | -11.3 | 11.8 | 3. | South Africa | 2518.0 | +8.8 | 12.1 | 4. | Pakistan | 2505.2 | +11.2 | 14.6 | 5. | Sri Lanka | 2486.6 | +14.4 | 9.5 | 6. | India | 2480.0 | +4.8 | 8.3 | 7. | New Zealand | 2472.7 | -7.2 | 14.5 | 8. | West Indies | 2406.2 | +1.1 | 7.9 | 9. | Zimbabwe | 2311.8 | -17.4 | 7.8 | 10. | Bangladesh | 2231.1 | +1.0 | 5.8 | 11. | Ireland | 2074.0 | -23.5 | 7.8 | 12. | Afghanistan | 2019.4 | -11.4 | 13.9 | 13. | Namibia | 2009.1 | -13.3 | 16.8 | 14. | Scotland | 2006.7 | +15.0 | 7.1 | 15. | Netherlands | 1985.5 | -31.3 | 2.3 | 16. | Canada | 1936.9 | -2.0 | 7.2 | 17. | U.A.E. | 1833.4 | +7.1 | 10.4 | 18. | U.S.A. | 1758.3 | -18.5 | 5.8 | 19. | Kenya | 1723.8 | +10.5 | 18.0 | 20. | Uganda | 1674.6 | +50.9 | 6.3 | 21. | Oman | 1652.7 | -9.9 | 8.1 | 22. | Denmark | 1606.4 | +24.2 | 3.5 | 23. | P.N.G. | 1601.9 | +14.8 | 3.0 | 24. | Kuwait | 1581.4 | -6.4 | 7.1 | 25. | Bermuda | 1565.9 | -11.4 | 4.4 | 26. | Nepal | 1536.9 | +16.2 | 9.3 | 27. | Nigeria | 1508.4 | +19.5 | 8.5 | 28. | Jersey | 1505.2 | +4.2 | 3.5 | 29. | Italy | 1493.1 | +9.8 | 3.5 | 30. | Hong Kong | 1470.8 | +67.1 | 9.3 | 31. | Cayman Is | 1426.3 | -19.9 | 3.5 | 32. | Ghana | 1406.6 | -11.5 | 8.0 | 33. | Malaysia | 1404.6 | +1.1 | 7.8 | 34. | Singapore | 1402.5 | -28.9 | 1.8 | 35. | Guernsey | 1379.1 | -18.1 | 4.0 | 36. | Isle of Man | 1315.4 | -28.8 | 3.0 | 37. | Tanzania | 1305.8 | +6.2 | 4.0 | 38. | Qatar | 1300.0 | +31.3 | 1.8 | 39. | Botswana | 1299.5 | -11.5 | 4.0 | 40. | Argentina | 1289.7 | +0.1 | 3.3 | 41. | Maldives | 1231.9 | +3.0 | 6.0 | 42. | Belgium | 1216.4 | -2.5 | 7.0 | 43. | Spain | 1210.0 | +8.8 | 3.5 | 44. | Saudi Arabia | 1205.3 | +0.8 | 6.8 | 45. | Germany | 1190.5 | -5.7 | 3.5 | 46. | Suriname | 1129.5 | +36.2 | 5.0 | 47. | Norway | 1125.5 | +17.1 | 4.0 | 48. | France | 1115.2 | -3.5 | 3.5 | 49. | Austria | 1104.1 | +6.4 | 7.5 | 50. | Bahrain | 1082.1 | +18.2 | 1.5 | 51. | Gibraltar | 1081.8 | +18.1 | 3.5 | 52. | Sweden | 1058.0 | -23.7 | 6.0 | 53. | Vanuatu | 1016.5 | +13.8 | 3.0 | 54. | Sierra Leone | 1014.9 | +3.5 | 4.0 | 55. | Israel | 1007.3 | +22.4 | 3.5 | 56. | Fiji | 1004.4 | -16.2 | 3.0 | 57. | Greece | 999.6 | -1.6 | 3.5 | 58. | Mozambique | 995.7 | -7.6 | 4.0 | 59. | Samoa | 976.0 | -2.7 | 5.5 | 60. | Croatia | 944.3 | -52.2 | 4.4 | 61. | Swaziland | 915.7 | -17.0 | 4.0 | 62. | Portugal | 896.1 | -3.8 | 3.0 | 63. | Finland | 895.1 | -6.0 | 3.0 | 64. | Panama | 894.6 | +10.3 | 2.5 | 65. | Malawi | 880.0 | -9.7 | 4.0 | 66. | Mexico | 870.6 | -8.8 | 3.0 | 67. | Bahamas | 849.6 | +7.0 | 3.3 | 68. | Belize | 846.8 | +33.3 | 5.0 | 69. | Peru | 814.9 | +32.6 | 2.5 | 70. | Lesotho | 805.3 | +3.1 | 1.5 | 71. | Turks and Caicos Islands | 802.4 | -0.7 | 2.5 | 72. | Rwanda | 796.8 | -10.9 | 5.5 | 73. | Luxembourg | 791.6 | -3.5 | 3.0 | 74. | Estonia | 784.7 | -4.0 | 2.5 | 75. | Cyprus | 751.3 | +4.1 | 3.0 | 76. | Philippines | 723.3 | +18.4 | 2.5 | 77. | Seychelles | 722.5 | +19.9 | 2.0 | 78. | Hungary | 657.8 | +33.7 | 3.3 | 79. | China | 649.5 | -4.2 | 2.5 | 80. | Malta | 637.5 | +7.5 | 3.5 | 81. | Chile | 615.7 | +22.7 | 2.5 | 82. | Morocco | 606.6 | -3.6 | 2.0 | 83. | Japan | 600.1 | +10.5 | 2.0 | 84. | Slovenia | 599.0 | -10.2 | 2.5 | 85. | Gambia | 584.2 | -12.5 | 2.0 | 86. | Brazil | 579.7 | -17.4 | 2.5 | 87. | Russia | 548.6 | +23.3 | 1.0 | 88. | Cook Islands | 540.0 | -21.5 | 3.0 | 89. | Romania | 511.5 | +18.1 | 0.8 | 90. | Czech Rep. | 501.0 | +4.8 | 2.5 | 91. | Tonga | 500.4 | -3.9 | 3.0 | 92. | Bulgaria | 486.5 | +5.3 | 6.1 | 93. | Costa Rica | 475.5 | -39.1 | 3.0 | 94. | Lithuania | 392.9 | -14.6 | 2.0 | 95. | South Korea | 373.6 | +17.5 | 3.0 | 96. | Mali | 290.9 | -9.9 | 1.5 | 97. | Turkey | 287.6 | -4.4 | 2.5 | 98. | Indonesia | 284.0 | -30.7 | 3.0 | 99. | Serbia | 270.0 | -23.2 | 2.0 | 100. | Cameroon | 180.0 | -10.4 | 1.5 | 101. | Slovakia | 160.3 | -50.4 | 1.0 | 102. | Falkland Islands | 136.6 | -51.3 | 3.0 | 103. | Macedonia | 122.9 | -56.2 | 2.3 |
The T20 ratings are both volatile and subject to starting rating. Shading indicates level of certainty.
Cricket - Ratings - T20
25th February, 2012 17:26:21
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